- Former presidential campaign spokesperson, Segun Sowunmi, has projected that President Bola Tinubu is well-positioned to significantly expand his electoral map, potentially securing victories in at least 22 states during the 2027 presidential election.
- Sowunmi noted that crucial structural changes and political realignments in key opposition strongholds like Katsina and Kano have altered the voting dynamics, reducing the leverage previously enjoyed by rivals.
- The political analyst highlighted that strategic regional recalibrations could see the president consolidate his grip on the Southwest while pulling surprisingly robust numbers from the Southeast and Southsouth geopolitical zones.
As the nation gradually edges closer to the next political cycle, a prominent opposition figure and former presidential campaign spokesperson, Segun Sowunmi, has indicated that President Bola Tinubu could head into the 2027 presidential race with a vastly superior electoral reach than he possessed in 2023.
Eko Hot Blog reports that speaking during a live television programme, Sowunmi projected that evolving political alignments, shifting local loyalties, and the rapid recalibration of regional power blocs across the country are heavily favoring the incumbent, positioning him to win at least 22 states.
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According to Sowunmi’s deep-dive analysis of the current national landscape, President Tinubu is on track to substantially improve his performance in territory where he previously struggled.
He noted that the administration’s strategic engagements are likely to yield significantly better numbers across the Southeast and Southsouth, with the latter potentially delivering even stronger support depending on how complex political developments in the oil-rich region unfold.
This is in addition to consolidating a firm grip on his traditional stronghold in the Southwest.
The political expert further pointed out that critical northern battlegrounds are undergoing a massive structural shift that will likely work in the president’s favor.
Singling out Katsina State, Sowunmi recalled how influential actors within the camp of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar successfully delivered the state to the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in 2023.
However, he emphasized that the political equation in Katsina has fundamentally changed, with those strategic opposition figures no longer occupying the key positions of influence they once held.
Similarly, he identified Kano State as another vital hub where fresh cross-party alliances among major local stakeholders could drastically alter the traditional voting direction next year.
Despite his highly optimistic projections for the incumbent, Sowunmi acknowledged that the road ahead would not be completely devoid of institutional friction, particularly within specific pockets of the North.
He conceded that certain parts of the northern region might present noticeable headwinds and structural weaknesses for the president.
Nevertheless, his comprehensive reading of emerging regional alliances and the fragmentation within major opposition blocks suggests that the president remains in a highly favorable position to cross the required constitutional thresholds with greater ease than his first outing.
Concluding his assessment on the ultimate shape of the upcoming contest, the veteran commentator dismissed the likelihood of any sudden third-party upsets from emergent political movements.
He insisted that if current macroeconomic and political trends persist, the sprawling race will ultimately narrow down to a straight, highly competitive heavyweight fight between President Bola Tinubu and the perennial opposition flagbearer, Atiku Abubakar.
